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A Commonplace Book

Interpretive essays on quotes worth keeping — a commonplace book, read and re-read.

Money & Economy

Jefferson on a Spirit of Gambling in Public Paper

A spirit, however, of gambling in our public paper has seized on too many of our citizens, and we fear it will check our commerce, arts, manufactures, and agriculture, unless stopped.

— Thomas Jefferson, letter to William Carmichael, 24 August 1791

Analytical Interpretation

Background and Context

Jefferson was forty-eight and about a year and a half into his job as the first Secretary of State, writing from Philadelphia to William Carmichael, the American chargé d'affaires at Madrid. The letter is a routine dispatch of news home: the wheat crop had come in better than anyone expected, the first federal census had been taken and Jefferson reckoned the true count above four million, a military expedition on the Ohio frontier had succeeded. Then the state of public finance, which is the paragraph this sentence sits in — and it opens with good news. The domestic debt, funded at six percent under Alexander Hamilton's program, was trading twelve and a half percent above par. Two weeks earlier, on 11 August, a frenzy of speculation in subscription rights to the new Bank of the United States had broken; the Treasury had steadied the market with open purchases, and by the time Jefferson wrote, prices had come back.

Interpretation

Start with what "our public paper" means, because most modern readers get it wrong. In 1791 "public paper," "the funds," and "stock" all named government debt certificates; circulating currency went by "bank paper" or "bank notes," a distinction Jefferson keeps carefully in his other letters from the same fortnight. The proof sits in the two sentences directly above this one, which quote the six percents at twelve and a half above par — nobody quotes a banknote at a premium. So the passage that circulates today on hard-money and anti-fiat lists as a warning about printed currency is a warning about people trading government bonds.

With that settled, the second word worth stopping on is however. Jefferson has just reported that public credit is firm and the funded debt is trading well above face value — Hamilton's program visibly working — and he can't leave the report standing there. The sentence is a hedge inside good news. He is qualifying a success, and the success is genuine; the securities being gambled with are the ones he has just certified as sound.

Then the harm he forecasts, which is oddly specific. The verb is check — held where they are, stopped from going further — where a man reaching for maximum alarm would have written ruined. Checked is a claim about growth foregone, and growth foregone is much harder to see, because nothing visibly breaks. A country whose citizens have found a fast, legal, profitable thing to do with their money simply doesn't get around to the slow things, and nothing about that ever registers anywhere as a loss.

Current Relevance

The complaint recurs whenever a financial asset gets liquid and profitable enough to compete with productive work for people's attention. It is behind the standing worry about how many of a country's engineers and mathematicians end up pricing derivatives, behind arguments about companies buying back shares instead of building capacity, and behind the commentary on the retail trading surge of 2020 and 2021, when a great many people discovered simultaneously that a phone could be a brokerage. In each case the charge is the one Jefferson makes here. Nobody is being cheated. The wrong thing has become the interesting thing.

Impact and Legacy

This sentence is one of a cluster Jefferson wrote inside a single fortnight — nearly the same words to David Humphreys the day before, to Edward Rutledge the day after, where he calls it scrippomany, and to Gouverneur Morris six days later, where the same worry produces his sharpest image: ships lying idle at the wharves, "as too slow instruments of profit."

Read together, that fortnight is the opening of the argument that split Washington's cabinet. Jefferson and Madison against Hamilton's funding program, on the grounds that it had manufactured a moneyed interest with a direct stake in federal policy and a taste for speculation — an argument that hardened into the first American party system within two years. The specific phrasing here never became famous. The habit these letters share — describing a financial market as gambling, and its participants as men who have caught something — has never left the language.

Contrasting Views or Controversies

The empirical claim is the weak part. Buying and selling an existing bond doesn't consume capital; it moves it from one holder to another. Hamilton's answer at the time — that a liquid public debt makes capital more available to enterprise, because a security you can sell quickly is a security worth buying — is still roughly the standard reply, and the decade that followed Jefferson's warning was not one of arrested American commerce.

He also names no mechanism, and the two available ones point in opposite directions. If gambling checks industry because it swallows capital, that is testable and mostly false for a secondary market. If it checks industry because it swallows attention — because a man watching the sixes all day is not building a mill — that is probably true and completely beyond the reach of any policy. Jefferson does not say which he means, and the sentence's closing "unless stopped" arrives with no instrument attached to it, which is what happens when the diagnosis has quietly become the second kind.

There is also a plainer reading of check than the one taken here. Eighteenth-century usage runs looser — nearer to "hold back" than to "arrest at a standstill" — and if that is all Jefferson meant, this is an ordinary warning about distraction rather than a precise claim about growth foregone.

Practical Application

  • Reading any period source on money: find out what the market did in the fortnight before it was written. This sentence is close to unreadable without the 11 August crash and the recovery that followed it, and the same is true of most financial commentary, then and now. The context is usually one search away and almost never supplied.
  • Before quoting a founder on money: check which paper is meant. Government debt, bank notes, and coin were three different things with three different vocabularies, and a fair number of the Jefferson quotations in circulation have been moved from one argument into another by nothing more than a modern reader's assumption about the word.
  • When a warning arrives with no addressee: notice it. A sentence that ends unless stopped, with nobody named to do the stopping, usually means the speaker has seen something real and has no instrument for it. Worth taking seriously; worth not mistaking for a proposal.

Background on the Author

Thomas Jefferson (1743–1826) was thirty-three when he drafted the Declaration of Independence. He served as governor of Virginia during the Revolution, and from 1785 to 1789 as American minister to France, before coming home to take up the office he held when he wrote this letter — first Secretary of State under Washington, which he resigned at the end of 1793, in part over the disagreements this sentence belongs to. He was elected president in 1800, served two terms, and died at Monticello in 1826.

The Paris years are what stand behind the letter. Jefferson spent five of them watching a great power's finances come apart: a debt no reform could reach, ministers dismissed over it, and finally a king forced to call an assembly he had not wanted, because of money. He arrived home in 1789 to find his own country reorganizing its revolutionary debts into a permanent funded one. He had reason to treat a national debt as a political object rather than an accounting entry, because he had just watched one decide a government's fate.


Perspectives

In With the Wheat

Thirteen days after the market broke, the prices were back and he was still worried.

And he puts it in the middle of the harvest report. Wheat, census, an expedition, credit firm — and then the worry, at the same volume as the wheat, no build to it, no raised voice. I like him for that. Alarm that clears its throat first is asking you for something. This isn't asking. It's the fifth item.

That, I think, is the tell for a worry somebody actually holds, as against one they're deploying. A held worry doesn't wait for an occasion. It turns up on a good day, in a good report, in the same tone as the wheat — because it never depended on the bad news to begin with, and the bad news going away does nothing to it at all.


Provenance — researched 2026-09-08
  • Attributed to: Thomas Jefferson (1743–1826), then the first United States Secretary of State.
  • Source: Letter to William Carmichael (c. 1739–1795) of Maryland, American chargé d'affaires at Madrid from 1782 to 1794 and Jefferson's standing correspondent on the navigation of the Mississippi. The passage closes a paragraph of financial news, immediately after "The public credit continues firm. The domestic debt funded at six percent is 12½ per cent above par." Jefferson's press copy is at the Library of Congress; a file copy survives in the State Department records.
  • Date & context: 24 August 1791, from Philadelphia — thirteen days after the collapse, on 11 August, of the summer's speculative frenzy in Bank of the United States subscription rights, which Jefferson called "scrippomany" in a letter the following day. Hamilton had steadied the market with roughly $150,000 in Treasury purchases around 17 August, and prices had recovered by the time this was written.
  • Verified wording: As given in the block quote above, following the Memorial Edition text at 8:230. Jefferson's manuscript reads "A spirit however of gambling … has seised on too many of our citizens, and we fear it will check our commerce, arts, manufactures and agriculture, unless stopped" — without the commas around however, without the serial comma, and with his spelling seised. The Memorial Edition's modernisation is the form in general use and the form this file's text was collected from.
  • Corrected wording: the filed text read "A spirit… of gambling," eliding the single word however. The word is restored. It carries the sentence's turn: the paragraph is a report of good news — public credit firm, the six percents well above par — and "however" is Jefferson declining to leave it at that. Without the hedge the sentence reads as unqualified scolding; with it, it is a man qualifying his own favourable report. Every other difference between the filed text and the Memorial Edition page is an accidental of spelling or pointing.
  • Status: Authentic; variant in accidentals as filed. Genuinely Jefferson's, from a located and dated letter to the correct recipient, reproducing the Memorial Edition text exactly but for the elided however and the incomplete date.
    • The filed locus ME 8:230 was checked against the volume rather than accepted: the letter runs 8:229–30 and this sentence falls on page 230.
    • Not a joint letter and not to William Short. Jefferson's letters addressed jointly to Carmichael and Short begin only in 1792, after Washington named the two commissioners plenipotentiary to Spain; through 1791 the Carmichael letters are single. A near-twin sentence exists and is a genuine conflation risk — to David Humphreys, 23 August 1791: "A spirit of gambling in the public paper has lately seised too many of our citizens. Commerce, manufactures, the arts and agriculture will suffer from it if not checked." Different wording, different correspondent, one day earlier.
    • "Our public paper" means the funded federal debt, not currency. Period usage reserved "public paper," "the funds," and "stock" for government debt certificates, and "bank paper" or "bank notes" for circulating money; the preceding sentence's quotation of the six percents above par settles it, since no banknote trades at a premium. Jefferson himself glosses the term six days later, to Gouverneur Morris on 30 August 1791: "the abundance of paper has produced a spirit of gambling in the funds." The one nuance worth recording is that in August 1791 the two markets overlapped — Bank subscriptions were payable three-quarters in public debt certificates — so the phrase reasonably covers the scrip riding on the debt as well. It does not cover paper money, which is how the quotation is most often used in circulation.
    • Not listed among Monticello's spurious quotations, and no Thomas Jefferson Encyclopedia entry exists for it — consistent with an authentic and uncontested text.
  • Citation (Chicago):
    • Jefferson, Thomas. "Thomas Jefferson to William Carmichael, 24 August 1791." In The Papers of Thomas Jefferson, vol. 22, 6 August–31 December 1791, edited by Charles T. Cullen. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1986. Founders Online, National Archives. https://founders.archives.gov/documents/Jefferson/01-22-02-0064.
    • Jefferson, Thomas. "To William Carmichael, August 24, 1791." In The Writings of Thomas Jefferson, Memorial Edition, edited by Andrew A. Lipscomb and Albert Ellery Bergh, vol. 8, 229–30. Washington, D.C.: Thomas Jefferson Memorial Association, 1903–04. Quotation at 230.
    • Jefferson, Thomas. "Thomas Jefferson to Edward Rutledge, 25 August 1791." Founders Online, National Archives. https://founders.archives.gov/documents/Jefferson/01-22-02-0071.
    • Jefferson, Thomas. "Thomas Jefferson to Gouverneur Morris, 30 August 1791." Founders Online, National Archives. https://founders.archives.gov/documents/Jefferson/01-22-02-0100.

Provenance researched 2026-09-08.